The decline largely reflects projected aging by veterans Andre Iguodala and David West. Newcomers to the league and players who played too little for an RPM rating are rated using their projected offensive and defensive ratings from my SCHOENE projection system, which incorporates translated performance in the NCAA and professional leagues besides the NBA.ĭespite being projected for four fewer wins than in last year's RPM projection - which was the best on record and nearly matched their total of 67 wins - Golden State is still projected seven games ahead of any other NBA team. Most veteran players are rated using the multiyear, predictive version of RPM, adjusted for the typical aging curve. (They also missed on other teams, including the Milwaukee Bucks' playoff run and the Detroit Pistons' falling out of the postseason.)Īs in past seasons, I've put together projected playing time based on a formula that estimates games missed by taking into account the number missed over the past three seasons (adjusted for any offseason injuries/suspensions) and my own guesses at how rotations will shake out.
500 and the New York Knicks would stay in the lottery. Last season, these projections correctly forecast that the Houston Rockets would have home-court advantage in the first round, the Denver Nuggets would challenge. To help answer these questions and more, here's an early look at 2017-18 NBA projections using ESPN's real plus-minus (RPM). Who is the biggest threat to the Golden State Warriors? Just how heated will the competition be for playoff spots in the Western Conference, and are there eight playoff-caliber teams in the East? Projected 2017-18 records and standings for every NBA team
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